Chaos is unpredictability, not knowing what is going to happen. Humans are often chaotic, doing things that cannot be derived from what they did in the past, a past that gave no indication of what could happen in the future. Chaos promotes creativity. People are often afraid of chaos and catastrophes but they make life interesting. Chaos means more freedom and less control from above. In these periods humans become more human because they have to decide themselves, chaos forces them to think and act independently. The control from above by unassailable leaders or untransparent organisations weakens.
The unpredictable movement of football players is the reason why people go to football matches. The sacrifice in chess, accepting a new job, a marriage or a divorce, the possibility to meet new people, it are all jumpy moments that make life interesting. Without unpredictability, without some chaos, life tends to become boring, people become depressed and lose interest. In chaotic times new things happen that make life worth living. The mass revolts in the last ten years in many parts of the world created chaotic situations but not yet a catastrophe, a revolution.
Catastrophes and revolutions are sudden changes. They resemble in a certain way chaos. Chaos is a prime condition for a possible revolution. In a chaotic situation it is easier to strengthen the factors that can lead to a catastrophe, a fundamental change in society. The past, the present and the future become disconnected. A catastrophe is an opening towards a new completely different situation. After a revolution, a jump in social developments, a new society is born in which new things happen that could not occur and even could not have been foreseen before the revolution. Old relations are disturbed and new relations spring up. Entering the unknown is exiting and chaos and catastrophes should be promoted. Not evolution brings progress but revolution, a jump towards a society that cannot come into existence in an evolutionary way. Chaos and catastrophes are more interesting than gradual developments that extrapolate the present situation. Evolution brings order in society and increases control over the 99%. Revolution gives more freedom and is more interesting and more agreeable than evolution.
In my free downloadable book “The Scarists, contemplations about a society beyond democracy” I write on page 55: “Never remain on familiar paths and never think you know everything. When you proceed on a familiar path you only learn that path. Life can (and must) take more paths”.
The 1% have a cosy, privileged life and do not want chaos or catastrophes. That endangers the constant stream of money to the top on which they base their power and existence. The 99% have less to lose and a lot to win, they need chaos and catastrophes to get the same status for everyone.
Catastrophes, revolutions, jumps are fairly common, essential and important elements of life. To pass or fail an exam and getting a diploma opens an often uncertain and chaotic road to a new situation. A new job, a sudden sacking, a birth or a death are examples of jumps after which the world changes in an unpredictable way.
In politics the powers that be want to avoid chaotic or catastrophic situations. They need predictability, the certainty to continue control over the 99%. The 99% can alleviate the growing control by creating some chaos, controllers cannot cope with chaos. Many 99% spontaneously escape control in sometimes chaotic situations at mass meetings around music performances, the behaviour of football hooligans or the massive dodging of laws. This chaos is caused unconsciously and does not disturb the power relations at the top. That is only the case when the 99% make the private life of the 1% and their lackeys chaotic. Carrying out actions that cannot be predicted by the targets. Demonstrations are insufficient for this goal because authorities have the time to organise their control apparatus. When controllers have to attend to chaos in their private life they have less energy to control other people. What happens elsewhere becomes less important when the own situation is disturbed in an unexpected way.
Chaos enters when the certainty for tomorrow falls away. The austerity measures that make future pensions uncertain could be a sign of a coming chaos. The growing number of jobless people is another sign. The life of many young workless people has become futureless and they are excluded from society. Football hooliganism is one sign as is the behaviour of people in shanty towns all over the world. People want to jump towards another world. It is often the world of drugs, using it and earning from it. It is the consequence of a hopeless non-existing future. The recent uprisings in many countries as in the Arab Spring, in Turkey, in the Ukraine, in Thailand, in Brazil or in Greece in which many 99% were killed, wounded and arrested is a another sign that society is failing. Protesters created a chaotic situation which they obviously prefer over the terrible and known situation that has no future. They are not driven by money but by the wish to find a road to another future. Despite personal risks when they again and again go out on the streets many protesters find this way necessary, promising, exiting and interesting.
A human made catastrophe can be the result of a mounting chaotic situation in which life becomes even more unpredictable. It can occur when the factors that cause a catastrophe are strengthened. An important factor in getting a diploma is the increase in knowledge, in getting a social revolution, the increase in human activity, the growth of movements for another world. A moving society is more chaotic and increases the chance on real change. Chaos also occurs during wars or during wide spread hunger, the forebode of e.g. the French and Dutch revolutions. Another factor is the weakening of the power of the 1% when actions make their private living sphere more chaotic by creative and surprising disturbances. Then the 1% lose their grip on society. They cannot maintain the dull continuous situation that is needed to increase their money and power.
On the way towards a revolution, many small catastrophes take place that influence the life of the 99% as well as that of the 1%. A small catastrophe occurs when a 1% decides to change a decision because of pressure by the 99%. A bigger catastrophe occurs when the 1% abandons his position in the top of the power pyramid because of actions by the 99%. Another factor is when the 1% perceive that the possibility of getting and spending money, a prime condition for belonging to the top of the power pyramid, becomes too difficult. Their position is no longer unassailable and becomes unpredictable, more chaotic.
A still bigger catastrophe occurs when the 1% starts fighting each other. The chaos under the 1% increases because they do not know what to do against their loss of control over the world of the 99%. The 99% must not take sides in such conflict but remain the third dog that walks away with the bone. In Egypt the 1% fought with each other (Mubarak contra the other 1%) but the conflict was not caused by the 99%. There was no direct pressure on the 1% and the revolting masses did not cause chaos under the 1% to strengthen their own position and to put still more pressure on the 1%. The 1% needed some time to solve the internal conflicts and then they used their power to restore control over the 99% they had lost during their internal struggle in which many 99% were used as foot soldiers. The weakening of the power of the 1%, what was hardly the case in Egypt, is an important factor in getting a political catastrophe.
Other factors that promote chaos and maybe revolution are the growing number of Autonomous Clubs, the explosive rise in actions against the private life of the 1%, the growing movement for a Humane Society and the increasing acceptance of the new paradigm that all people have the same status. Though the situation becomes more chaotic most people acknowledge that something special is happening, a jump in the development of society, a catastrophe, a revolution.
Joost van Steenis